Interesting ideas, thank you. I've had another look at the base. Firstly, because of the shape it has a very small surface area in contact with whatever it's sitting on, secondly, it doesn't sit flat so there are areas not in contact at all. So the ring of wear on the base is quite narrow. Hard to say if it's worn enough. I'll have a better look later.
There are air bubbles in the glass - an amount I would expect in 19th century glass.
The rim is thicker. I had another look at it. It's folded over and very uneven.
Your last point is my main concern. I've seen reproductions that I can't tell from an authentic Victorian vase.